Sunday, March 25, 2007

Previewing First Base

For the purpose of grouping players David Ortiz will be listed here for his preview.

Last season While Ortiz smashed his way to a Red Sox record, Kevin Youkilis performed solidly in his first full season in the majors, and while Youkilis will likely improve Ortiz could possibly slip.

Ortiz set a franchise record with 54 HR last season and most project him to take a significat step back on the power numbers this season.

Bill James projects Ortiz at .285/.391/.592 with 47 HR and 138 RBI. He's also projected for 42 doubles and 103 walks.

PECOTA has a much bigger decline for Big Papi to the tune of .289/.406/.577 with 41 HR, 130 RBI, 37 doubles and 109 walks.

For Youkilis Bill James has .283/.395/.433 with 14 HR, 165 hits and 101 runs.

PECOTA has .271/.376/.456 with 18 HR and 90 run scored.

My predictions for them are;

Ortiz: .301 with 63 HR, 32 doubles, 123 walks and 150 RBI
Youkilis: .325 with 21 HR, 44 doubles and 107 runs

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